Elgin City vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ELG
2 - 2
BER
69%
18%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
EDI
3 - 0
ELG
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ELG
1 - 1
FOR
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
CWB
1 - 1
ELG
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BLA
1 - 0
ELG
44%
24%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
EDI
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ARB
0 - 1
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CWB
0 - 2
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 3
STI
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
BLA
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |