Elgin City vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BER
3 - 3
ELG
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ELG
1 - 2
BLA
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ALL
8 - 1
ELG
60%
21%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ELG
1 - 2
STR
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CLY
0 - 2
ELG
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
THE
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
QUE
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PET
2 - 1
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
ALL
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 2
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |