Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
54.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ELG
0 - 5
HIB
7%
15%
79%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 2
ELG
79%
14%
8%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 5
ELG
14%
19%
68%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ELG
3 - 1
INV
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
ELG
3 - 1
INV
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
KHE
2 - 5
HOM
41%
23%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KHE
2 - 1
HAM
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
KHE
1 - 5
LIV
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HAM
4 - 1
KHE
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KHE
0 - 2
MON
37%
26%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |