Elgin City vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
66%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
DUN
6 - 0
ELG
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
ELG
0 - 1
ROS
14%
19%
67%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ELG
0 - 0
CWB
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ARB
3 - 2
ELG
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ELG
2 - 2
STI
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
HOM
1 - 2
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 4
HOM
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
STP
1 - 0
HOM
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
LIV
0 - 1
HOM
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CEL
2 - 0
HOM
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |