Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
10º
7º
42
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
ELG
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ELG
2 - 0
BRA
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
STR
3 - 1
ELG
55%
22%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
JSW
6 - 0
ELG
42%
21%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
STE
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 2
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
CLY
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 3
STE
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HUN
1 - 4
FOR
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 3
PET
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |