Elgin City vs East Stirlingshire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BER
6 - 2
ELG
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
ELG
3 - 5
ARB
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ELG
3 - 2
AYR
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +3 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
ELG
1 - 2
ROS
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ELG
5 - 2
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
THE
2 - 1
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
PET
6 - 1
THE
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BLA
3 - 1
THE
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
THE
1 - 2
ALL
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
STR
1 - 2
THE
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |