Elgin City vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
10º
7º
57
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
ELG
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ELG
2 - 1
STR
40%
25%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ELG
2 - 1
PET
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
STE
2 - 0
ELG
73%
16%
10%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ELG
0 - 4
SPA
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 4
GLA
6%
14%
80%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
DUM
29%
23%
47%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
PET
3 - 1
DUM
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 2
EAS
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
DUM
4 - 4
CLY
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |