Elgin City vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
10º
7º
57
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
ELG
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
5 - 1
ELG
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
EAS
32%
26%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 1
ELG
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
ELG
0 - 0
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 3
KHE
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
EAS
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STE
2 - 4
DUM
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DUM
3 - 1
FOR
42%
27%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 1
DUM
14%
17%
69%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -1 |