Elgin City vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
ELG
1 - 5
STE
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MON
3 - 2
ELG
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ELG
2 - 3
STR
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
THE
0 - 0
ELG
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
ELG
2 - 1
ARB
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CWB
1 - 0
QUE
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ROS
3 - 0
CWB
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
AIR
4 - 0
CWB
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CWB
1 - 1
ALL
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
QUE
2 - 3
CWB
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |