Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
10º
7º
39
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CLY
2 - 1
ELG
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
ELG
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ELG
2 - 2
STE
19%
25%
56%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
ELG
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
ELG
55%
22%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bonnyrigg Rose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
SPA
29%
26%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
STE
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
PET
0 - 0
BRA
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 2
EAS
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |