Elgin City vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
DUM
1 - 0
ELG
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CWB
1 - 3
ELG
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ELG
0 - 2
PET
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CLY
2 - 4
ELG
30%
23%
47%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ELG
2 - 0
STE
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ARB
3 - 0
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
EDI
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 0
BER
57%
21%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BER
1 - 0
CWB
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BER
0 - 1
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |