Elgin City vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ELG
31%
23%
46%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ELG
1 - 0
STI
81%
12%
7%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
ELG
45%
24%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
ALL
0 - 2
ELG
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ELG
4 - 0
THE
67%
18%
16%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BER
1 - 0
QUE
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BER
2 - 2
ARB
57%
21%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
KIL
4 - 1
BER
68%
18%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
STI
1 - 3
BER
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
EAS
5 - 0
BER
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |