Elgin City vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 1
ELG
59%
22%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BER
2 - 0
ELG
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 0
ELG
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ELG
0 - 2
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BLA
0 - 2
ELG
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
QUE
2 - 0
BER
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BER
0 - 1
THE
44%
26%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BER
2 - 0
ELG
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
MON
1 - 3
BER
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ROS
5 - 1
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |