Elgin City vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
39%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
ELG
4 - 0
CIV
83%
12%
6%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ELG
2 - 0
STE
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ALB
3 - 1
ELG
16%
22%
63%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ELG
1 - 0
BLA
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ELG
5 - 2
CWB
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
AYR
1 - 1
RAI
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 3
AYR
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
HOM
2 - 0
AYR
72%
17%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 0
AYR
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 2
AYR
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |