Elgin City vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
ELG
2 - 0
HOM
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ELG
3 - 0
EDI
63%
19%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CWB
0 - 1
ELG
43%
24%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
STI
4 - 1
ELG
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
ELG
4 - 2
BRE
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
ARB
2 - 3
EAS
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
ARB
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 1
BER
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
INV
0 - 3
ARB
17%
19%
63%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ICT
7 - 0
ARB
83%
13%
4%
|
39 | 75 | 36 | 0 |