Elgin City vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
THE
0 - 3
ELG
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ELG
1 - 1
QUE
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
STI
0 - 0
ELG
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ELG
2 - 2
BLA
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BER
2 - 0
ELG
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 2
BER
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
4 - 1
ARB
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 1
EAS
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CLY
1 - 2
ARB
64%
21%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |