Elgin City vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
QUE
1 - 3
ELG
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ELG
2 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BER
3 - 3
ELG
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ELG
1 - 2
BLA
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ALL
8 - 1
ELG
60%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 0
DUM
57%
21%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
DUM
2 - 1
ARB
38%
23%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 3
ARB
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 2
STE
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARB
25%
25%
49%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |