Elgin City vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ELG
3 - 2
AYR
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
ELG
1 - 2
ROS
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ELG
5 - 2
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
ELG
2 - 3
STR
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
QUE
0 - 1
ELG
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
DUN
5 - 2
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ARB
2 - 2
EAS
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
DUM
0 - 2
ARB
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ARB
1 - 1
CWB
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |