Elgin City vs Annan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
10º
9º
51
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PET
0 - 4
ELG
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STE
3 - 3
ELG
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ELG
2 - 0
BRA
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 1
ELG
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
ELG
3 - 1
STE
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Annan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 2
KHE
40%
23%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 2
EAS
73%
16%
11%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 4
ABE
15%
23%
63%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 2
BLA
26%
25%
50%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |