Elgin City vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
RAI
3 - 2
ELG
63%
20%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
EDI
1 - 1
ELG
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
ELG
4 - 0
BLA
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
ELG
3 - 1
QUE
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ELG
3 - 1
BER
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ALL
2 - 1
DUN
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALL
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
ALL
0 - 3
DUN
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
ALL
2 - 2
QOS
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ICT
2 - 2
ALL
68%
19%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |