Elgin City vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ARB
2 - 0
ELG
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ROS
2 - 0
ELG
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
ELG
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ELG
0 - 1
PET
24%
24%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ELG
1 - 1
EDI
61%
21%
19%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
ALL
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
ALL
4 - 2
ARB
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
ALL
1 - 2
FAL
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
DUM
0 - 2
ALL
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
ALL
0 - 1
DUM
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |