Elgin City vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
STR
1 - 0
ELG
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ELG
0 - 3
CLY
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
PET
1 - 3
ELG
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ELG
2 - 0
THE
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ELG
2 - 0
QUE
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ALL
4 - 2
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
QUE
1 - 3
ALL
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
THE
0 - 1
ALL
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 1
PET
61%
20%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BLA
2 - 0
ALL
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |