Elgin City vs St. Johnstone II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
QUE
5 - 0
ELG
73%
17%
11%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ELG
0 - 2
QOS
12%
17%
71%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
3 - 1
ELG
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ELG
0 - 2
MHE
9%
17%
74%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ICT
4 - 1
ELG
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
EAS
4 - 0
STJ
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
FRA
0 - 2
STJ
94%
5%
1%
|
11 | 54 | 43 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 0
STJ
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 48 | 37 | 0 |