Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-4
Eldense vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
SDM
2 - 1
ELD
53%
27%
20%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
ELD
1 - 0
CDZ
80%
16%
4%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
LIN
1 - 0
ELD
64%
24%
11%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
ELD
2 - 1
IMP
82%
14%
3%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
VIL
2 - 1
ELD
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
VIL
1 - 0
VAL
56%
28%
16%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
VIL
2 - 1
AND
65%
24%
11%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
ATB
2 - 0
VIL
27%
34%
39%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
VIL
0 - 1
OLI
65%
24%
11%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
VIL
2 - 1
ELD
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |