Eldense vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1964 |
ELD
3 - 0
MLL
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
ALG
3 - 1
ELD
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
CAD
2 - 1
ELD
71%
16%
13%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
ELD
1 - 1
IND
70%
17%
14%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
MAL
3 - 0
ELD
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
REC
1 - 1
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1964 |
CDT
1 - 0
REC
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
REC
2 - 1
VAL
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
REC
1 - 1
MLL
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
IND
2 - 1
REC
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |