Eldense vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 1
ELD
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
ELD
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ELD
2 - 0
ROD
30%
25%
45%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ATZ
2 - 0
ELD
51%
24%
26%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
ELD
0 - 1
SAG
28%
25%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
JOV
44%
26%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
CRE
43%
26%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
VIL
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
NOV
32%
26%
43%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |