Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Eldense vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
ELD
2 - 1
ALB
30%
32%
38%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
CIE
1 - 0
ELD
50%
26%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
OLI
2 - 0
ELD
54%
27%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
ELD
3 - 0
CIE
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
ELD
1 - 1
GAN
36%
30%
34%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
LOR
0 - 0
LEV
43%
30%
27%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
LOR
3 - 0
CDC
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
BAL
1 - 1
LOR
82%
13%
4%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
CDC
0 - 0
LOR
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
LOR
0 - 1
POL
42%
31%
27%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |