Eldense vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
CAD
6 - 0
ELD
73%
15%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
ELD
3 - 1
CFC
60%
20%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
GRA
2 - 0
ELD
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
ELD
4 - 0
PUL
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1963 |
VAL
2 - 0
ELD
74%
14%
12%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
HER
2 - 1
MUR
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
HER
3 - 1
GRA
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
REC
1 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
HER
5 - 0
CDT
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
MEL
1 - 0
HER
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |