Eldense vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 1
ELD
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ELD
1 - 1
NUC
26%
26%
49%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 1
ELD
43%
27%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ELD
3 - 0
MUR
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ELD
0 - 1
ALZ
26%
27%
47%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALZ
41%
27%
32%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ELC
2 - 1
UTI
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GAN
0 - 2
ELC
47%
26%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
ELC
0 - 1
CAS
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
ELC
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |