Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Eldense vs Arandina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
ACF
0 - 0
ELD
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
ELD
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ELD
1 - 0
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ELD
0 - 1
ORI
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
ELD
50%
25%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
ACF
0 - 0
ELD
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
ACF
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ACF
1 - 0
ALC
48%
26%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
AST
0 - 1
ACF
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACF
0 - 0
SEG
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |