Eldense vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
IMP
8 - 1
ELD
63%
18%
19%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ELD
4 - 2
ORI
77%
13%
11%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
ELC
4 - 2
ELD
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
ELD
2 - 0
LIN
84%
9%
6%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
ALI
5 - 3
ELD
77%
13%
10%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
ALI
2 - 2
ALB
70%
16%
14%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
GAB
1 - 3
ALI
34%
22%
44%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
ALI
6 - 2
CIE
73%
15%
13%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
CRE
3 - 2
ALI
37%
22%
41%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
ALI
5 - 3
ELD
77%
13%
10%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |