Elche vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 1
ELC
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
ELC
4 - 1
CDT
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ELC
1 - 0
REC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ELC
0 - 1
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
ELC
4 - 1
RSO
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
FCB
2 - 1
XER
26%
27%
48%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
GIM
1 - 2
XER
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
XER
1 - 4
CAR
69%
19%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
OSA
1 - 1
XER
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
XER
3 - 2
ZAR
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |