Segunda Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Elche vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
VAD
1 - 0
ELC
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ELC
4 - 1
XER
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 3
ELC
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 2
ELC
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
ELC
0 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
VAD
1 - 0
ELC
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 0
ALC
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
HUE
1 - 0
VAD
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
VAD
1 - 0
GIM
69%
19%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CDT
3 - 2
VAD
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |