Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-2
Elche vs Sporting Mahonés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
ELC
1 - 1
SSC
47%
30%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
MUR
2 - 1
ELC
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1990 |
MHN
1 - 2
ELC
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
ELC
0 - 0
LEV
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
LLE
2 - 0
ELC
51%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Mahonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
MHN
1 - 0
TOR
56%
25%
19%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
TCF
3 - 0
MHN
41%
30%
29%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 1990 |
MHN
1 - 2
ELC
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
MHN
3 - 1
FCB
33%
30%
37%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 1990 |
GIR
2 - 1
MHN
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |