Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 8-2
Elche vs SD Indautxu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
SDI
1 - 3
ELC
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
ELC
2 - 1
VCF
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
PON
1 - 1
ELC
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
ELC
1 - 1
BET
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
SAB
3 - 4
ELC
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SD Indautxu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
SDI
1 - 3
ELC
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
HOS
0 - 0
SDI
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
SDI
2 - 1
OVI
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
BAR
1 - 4
SDI
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
SDI
2 - 1
RAC
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |