Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-2
Elche vs UE Sant Andreu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1971 |
UES
2 - 1
ELC
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
CAL
1 - 0
ELC
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
ELC
4 - 1
CAL
75%
15%
11%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
ELC
1 - 0
SEV
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
VCF
3 - 0
ELC
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
UE Sant Andreu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1971 |
UES
0 - 2
RAY
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1971 |
UES
2 - 1
ELC
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
RCF
1 - 1
UES
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
UES
2 - 1
RAC
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
SPO
1 - 1
UES
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |