Elche vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
GIM
1 - 3
ELC
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
ELC
0 - 0
ALC
51%
27%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 1
ELC
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ELC
1 - 1
HUE
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
ELC
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ZAR
1 - 2
SEV
67%
22%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CCF
2 - 1
ZAR
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ZAR
3 - 0
NUM
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ZAR
1 - 2
GIM
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 1
ZAR
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |