Elche vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LEG
0 - 0
ELC
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ELC
0 - 0
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 2
ELC
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ELC
1 - 1
BAD
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
OVI
3 - 0
ELC
27%
29%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ZAR
0 - 3
GIR
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CDT
0 - 0
ZAR
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ALB
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 0
ZAR
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ZAR
3 - 1
LUG
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |