Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-1
Elche vs Real Valladolid Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
ELC
2 - 1
ATH
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
SPO
3 - 0
ELC
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
ELC
1 - 0
BUR
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
VAL
0 - 2
ELC
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
RMA
5 - 1
ELC
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
VAL
2 - 0
SIE
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
CAM
3 - 1
VAL
35%
27%
38%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
SPB
3 - 0
VAL
72%
20%
8%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
VAL
1 - 1
GRA
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
VAL
0 - 2
ELC
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 76 | 42 | 0 |