Elche vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
XER
2 - 0
ELC
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
CCF
3 - 0
ELC
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALB
39%
27%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
ALB
1 - 0
ELC
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
NUM
1 - 1
ELC
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
MUR
1 - 0
CCF
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ALB
1 - 0
MUR
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
MUR
1 - 2
NUM
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
CCF
1 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
CDB
1 - 1
MUR
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |