Elche vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
27.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
FCA
1 - 1
ELC
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
ELC
1 - 0
EUR
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
UES
1 - 0
ELC
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
ELC
2 - 0
GRA
47%
29%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
TER
1 - 1
ELC
26%
30%
45%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
MUR
0 - 0
UES
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
MUR
1 - 0
GRA
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
CDT
1 - 1
MUR
76%
15%
9%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
TER
1 - 0
MUR
24%
30%
46%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1995 |
MUR
0 - 1
CDT
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |