Elche vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
CAS
1 - 0
ELC
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
GDE
1 - 1
ELC
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
ELC
5 - 1
ALG
73%
19%
9%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
MUR
1 - 1
ELC
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
CAD
2 - 1
ELC
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
MUR
1 - 1
CAD
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
ALG
0 - 1
MUR
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAD
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
MUR
1 - 1
ELC
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
DEP
0 - 0
MUR
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |