Elche vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
ELC
3 - 0
CAD
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
DEP
0 - 0
ELC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
ELC
1 - 4
ALA
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
SAB
3 - 3
ELC
42%
30%
28%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
VIL
0 - 0
ELC
25%
27%
47%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
MUR
1 - 0
DEP
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
ALA
0 - 0
MUR
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
MUR
0 - 2
SAB
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
BAR
4 - 0
MUR
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
LEV
1 - 1
MUR
63%
19%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |