Elche vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
PON
0 - 1
ELC
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
ELC
2 - 1
VCF
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
BET
0 - 0
ELC
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
ELC
1 - 0
ESP
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
CCF
2 - 0
ELC
35%
24%
42%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
MUR
2 - 0
ATH
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
OVI
0 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
MUR
1 - 0
LEV
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
SEV
2 - 2
MUR
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
MUR
1 - 5
FCB
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |