Elche vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1959 |
PUL
2 - 0
ELC
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
ELC
4 - 1
RJA
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
EXT
1 - 1
ELC
59%
20%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
ELC
0 - 1
LEV
61%
20%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
CAD
3 - 0
ELC
56%
22%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
CDT
2 - 0
MUR
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
MUR
2 - 0
PUL
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
RJA
3 - 1
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
MUR
2 - 0
EXT
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
LEV
3 - 0
MUR
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |