Elche vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
43%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
GRA
3 - 1
ELC
80%
12%
8%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ELC
1 - 0
RCD
35%
22%
43%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
LEV
4 - 3
ELC
84%
10%
6%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
ELC
1 - 2
ALC
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
PUL
4 - 1
ELC
85%
9%
6%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAR
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
BAL
4 - 2
MUR
42%
23%
36%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
MUR
6 - 1
ALB
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 0
MUR
36%
24%
41%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
MUR
6 - 1
VAL
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |