Elche vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
FER
3 - 1
ELC
60%
19%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
ELC
0 - 0
ALI
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
ELC
1 - 0
BUR
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
IMP
1 - 1
ELC
32%
22%
46%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
ELC
3 - 2
IMP
74%
15%
12%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
MUR
2 - 1
IMP
84%
10%
6%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
IMP
2 - 4
MUR
26%
22%
53%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
MUR
4 - 0
CAR
82%
11%
7%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
BUR
2 - 4
MUR
21%
21%
58%
|
61 | 19 | 42 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
FER
2 - 1
MUR
31%
22%
47%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |