Elche vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
ELC
1 - 0
GIM
77%
14%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
GRA
2 - 2
ELC
75%
15%
11%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1934 |
HER
2 - 1
ELC
76%
14%
10%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
ELC
3 - 0
CAS
50%
23%
28%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
LEV
2 - 2
ELC
42%
23%
36%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
LEV
3 - 1
MUR
27%
23%
51%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
MUR
3 - 2
MAL
84%
10%
6%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1934 |
MUR
4 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
GIM
4 - 2
MUR
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
MUR
4 - 2
GRA
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |