Elche vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
11%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
IMP
3 - 2
ELC
45%
22%
34%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
ELC
2 - 2
CAR
67%
18%
16%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
ELC
0 - 2
MUR
30%
22%
47%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
FER
3 - 1
ELC
60%
19%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
ELC
0 - 0
ALI
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
BUR
5 - 0
IMP
37%
21%
42%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
IMP
2 - 0
IMP
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
IMP
1 - 0
CAR
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +3 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
MUR
2 - 1
IMP
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
IMP
2 - 2
FER
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |