Elche vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
46.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
VCF
2 - 0
ELC
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
ELC
2 - 1
ESP
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
RSO
4 - 0
ELC
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
ELC
1 - 1
UDL
45%
29%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
BET
2 - 0
ELC
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1976 |
RMA
1 - 1
BYM
60%
21%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
RMA
2 - 0
SPO
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
ZAR
3 - 1
RMA
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1976 |
RMA
1 - 1
MON
46%
23%
32%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
RMA
2 - 0
SEV
83%
11%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |